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C. This policy ensures that the ensuing fiscal year budget contains a sales tax revenue <br />estimate based on actual completed fiscal years only. <br />V. Budgetary Sales Tax Revenue Shortfall Contingency Plan <br />A. The City will establish a plan to address economic situations that cause sales tax revenue <br />to be significantly less than the adopted budget sales tax revenue. The plan is comprised <br />of the following components: <br />Indicators — Serve as warnings that potential budgetary sales tax revenue shortfalls are <br />increasing in probability. Staff will monitor state and national economic <br />indicators to identify recessionary or inflationary trends that could <br />negatively impact consumer spending. Staff will develop a monthly report <br />that compares the current month's sales tax revenue to the same month of <br />the previous year. The report will show sales tax revenue by month for the <br />last ten fiscal years. <br />Phases — Serve to classify and communicate the severity of the estimated budgetary <br />sales tax revenue shortfall. Identify the actions to be taken at the given <br />phase. <br />Actions — Preplanned steps to be taken in order to prudently address and counteract <br />the estimated budgetary sales tax revenue shortfall. <br />B. The actions listed in phases 1 through 3 are short-term in nature. In the event the <br />underlying economic situation is expected to last for consecutive years, more permanent <br />actions, such as phases 4 and 5, will be taken. <br />C. Staff will apprise City Council at the regular City Council meeting immediately <br />following any action taken through this plan. Information such as underlying economic <br />condition, economic indicators, estimated budgetary sales tax revenue shortfall, actions <br />taken and expected duration will be presented to City Council. <br />D. The City Council may appropriate fund balance as needed to cover any estimated <br />budgetary sales tax revenue shortfall. Appropriation of fund balance must be carefully <br />weighted and long -term budgetary impacts must be considered in conjunction with the <br />projected length of the economic downturn. <br />E. Actions taken through this plan must always consider the impact on revenue generation. <br />Actions taken should reduce expenses well in excess of resulting revenue losses. <br />F. The following is a summary of phase classifications and the corresponding actions to be <br />taken. Revenue will be monitored on a quarterly basis, with acting being taken in the <br />month following the completed quarter that experiences the shortfall. <br />1. ALERT: The estimated annual sales tax revenue is 1.5% less than the adopted <br />sales tax revenue budget. <br />