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City of San Marcos <br />Water Reuse System <br />Asset Management Plan <br />8 Asset Investment Plan <br />8.1 Long -Term Investment Forecast <br />The long -term investment forecasts the pace and magnitude of long term investment needed to <br />sustain the City's water reuse system assets into the future. The long -term forecast is designed <br />to predict the level of asset rehabilitation or replacement required to maintain City's standards of <br />customer service and system performance over the coming decades. Because the City's <br />system assets is relatively young and have anticipated useful lives exceeding 90 years, major <br />rehabilitation or replacement costs were forecasted through the year 2080. The long -term <br />analysis looks at broad categories of assets or cohorts that have similar useful lives and <br />degradation profiles. This high level overview of the system is used to forecast costs based on <br />industry replacement data that have been customized with specific institutional knowledge from <br />within the City. <br />The long -term forecast provides justification for budgetary targets relative to City's current <br />investment in its assets. Given that many utilities have fallen behind with their system renewal <br />efforts, the long -term forecast provides the fiduciary motivation to maintain more informed <br />renewal budgets over time. It can also help communicate to stakeholders the value of the <br />existing infrastructure assets and the renewal investment required to sustain those assets. <br />The reuse system assets were grouped by equipment type under the assumption that similar <br />equipment will have comparable aging characteristics. Failure curves for each asset type were <br />started with industry standard life expectancies, which were then adjusted by City's staff for the <br />specific conditions in the reuse system. Figures 8.1, 8.2 and 8.3 are examples of failure curves <br />developed for reuse system assets, reclaim water line, and reclaim water valves respectively. <br />Failure curves are based on the number of years from installation to the point where: <br />• 100% of the original asset would still be functional or the number of years until the <br />first major asset failure. <br />• 50% of the asset would still be in service without substantial <br />rehabilitation /replacement or the number of years identified as the average useful life <br />of an asset group or cohort. <br />February 2016 Page 42 <br />