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<br />. ;2t"L <br /> San Marcos Election Analysis - Final Report / January 1 0, 1994 / Page 6 <br /> in turn, routinely lose to Anglo opponents. This Anglo "voting bloc" scenario does <br /> not characterize San Marcos during the 13-year period we examined. <br /> The final element of the Gingles test goes beyond the analysis of election returns <br /> to raise the question of whether the ethnic minority population of a community is <br /> sufficiently large and geographically compact to permit the drawing of at least one <br /> majority-minority district in a multi-district plan. <br /> On the basis of the City demographic data we have examined in conjunction with <br />l our election analysis, we can state without hesitation that the Hispanic population <br /> of San Marcos is sufficiently large and geographically compact to draw at least one <br /> majority-Hispanic district in a multi-district Council plan. The City clearly satisfies <br /> this prong of the Gingles test. <br /> Recapping the performance of the City on the Gingles test, based on our analysis, <br /> we conclude that: <br /> 1} The minority/Hispanic community is sufficiently large and geographically <br /> compact to form at least one majority-minority district in a multi-district <br /> Council plan. <br /> 2} Hispanic voters are politically cohesive; the cohesiveness between Black <br /> and Hispanic voters is less apparent (judging from limited information). <br /> { <br /> 3} Anglo voters do not vote effectively and consistently as a bloc to defeat <br /> candidates preferred by minority voters. <br /> Beyond the Gingles criteria, which basically serve as prerequisites to a justiciable <br /> federal voting rights claim, other factors, especially those unique to the community <br /> in question, which might bear on the advisability/feasibility of districting, must be <br /> considered. In cases challenging at-large voting systems, the courts have labeled <br /> these additional factors, collectively, the "totality of circumstances." The purpose <br /> of inquiries based on the Gingles test and the "totality of circumstances" is a care- <br /> ful assessment of the voting system in question. <br /> I <br /> The decision to move from an at-large voting system to a districting system, even a <br /> partial districting system, is an extremely serious matter. While districting has had <br /> a pronounced impact on voting rights and voting patterns across the nation during <br /> the last several decades, especially in communities with longer-standing and more <br /> serious voting problems, the process is not without limitations. Indeed, following <br /> more than two decades of social experimentation with new districting systems, we <br /> are just beginning to understand better not only the advantages of the system, but <br /> also the more important disadvantages, especially for a smaller community like San <br /> Marcos. We urge extremely careful consideration of the strengths and weaknesses <br /> of districting before modifying or abandoning the current at-large system. <br />