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IV. Budgetary Sales Tam Estimation <br />A. The estimated percentage increase in sales tax revenue for the ensuing fiscal year budget <br />will not exceed the actual percentage increase of the most recently completed fiscal year. <br />B. The following example illustrates the limitation set by this policy. <br />Fiscal Year 1 Fiscal Year 2 <br /> Percentage <br />Actual Actual Increase <br />$10,000,000 $10,500,000 5.0 <br />Fiscal Year 3 Fiscal Year 4 <br /> Percentage <br />Estimated Proposed Increase <br />$11,550,000 $12,127,500 5.0 <br />In the example above, the Fiscal Year 4 Proposed Budget is limited to a 5.0% increase, <br />which is the actual percentage increase of the most recently completed fiscal year (Fiscal <br />Year 2). <br />C. This policy ensures that the ensuing fiscal year budget contains a sales tax revenue <br />estimate based on actual completed fiscal years only. <br />V. Budgetary Sales TaY Revenue Shortfall Contingency Plan <br />A. The City will establish a plan to address economic situations that cause sales tax revenue <br />to be significantly less than the adopted budget sales tax revenue. The plan is comprised <br />of the following components: <br />Indicators - Serve as warnings that potential budgetary sales tax revenue shortfalls are <br />increasing in probability. Staff will monitor state and national economic <br />indicators to identify recessionary or inflationary trends that could <br />negatively impact consumer spending. Staff will develop a monthly report <br />that compares the current month's sales tax revenue to the same month of <br />the previous year. The report will show sales tax revenue by month for the <br />last ten fiscal years. <br />Phases - Serve to classify and communicate the severity of the estimated budgetary <br />sales tax revenue shortfall. Identify the actions to be taken at the given <br />phase. <br />Actions - Preplanned steps to be taken in order to prudently address and counteract <br />the estimated budgetary sales tax revenue shortfall. <br />City of San Marcos Financial Policy -Proposed Sept 2008 Page 7