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<br />programs and identification ofthe entities utilizing the various strategies are detailed in <br />Section 3.0. <br /> <br />The second phase of the region's air quality improvement program includes a regional <br />commitment to continued air quality monitoring, photochemical modeling, and technical <br />analyses to facilitate design and implementation of additional strategies for future years. <br />Since 1996, ambient air monitoring has been conducted and emission inventories have <br />been compiled for the region. Photochemical modeling of a 1995 episode has also been <br />performed. Modeling and analyses ofa 1999 high ozone episode are underway, with <br />completed studies expected in early 2002. Results ofthis work are expected to enhance <br />the region's ability to select the most effective emission reduction strategies. MOBILES <br />has been used for this work; analysts will use MOBILE61 to evaluate mobile source <br />emission reduction measures. Using the results of this additional technical work, <br />interlocal agreements may be developed among the participants to carry out future <br />programs and measures, or the signatories may choose to amend the existing 03 Flex <br />Agreement. <br /> <br />1.4 Geographic Coverage of the 03 Flex Plan <br /> <br />The proposed 03 Flex Plan applies to the five counties included in the Austin/San <br />Antonio Metropolitan Statistical Area (A/SM MSA). These counties are Bastrop, <br />Caldwell, Hays, Travis, and Williamson counties (Figure 1.1). The A/SM MSA is <br />defined by the U.S. Office of Management and Budget (based on data generated by the <br />U.S. Census Office) and is representative ofthe historical basis used by the EPA for <br />defining nonattainment area boundaries. For Central Texas, using the defined MSA is a <br />reasonable and suitable approach to setting the area's 03 Flex Plan boundaries. The <br />predominant sources of anthropogenic VOC and NOx in the region are on-road, non- <br />road, and area. The impacts of, and increases in, emissions from these sources are <br />primarily related to the urban character of the region (e.g., population densities, <br />urban/suburban growth, commuting patterns, etc.). <br /> <br />I MOBILE6 is the most recent version (released January 2002) of EPA's emission factor <br />model for on-road mobile sources. Input to the model includes fuel, temperature, speed, <br />driving behavior, and emission reduction control strategies. From this input, the model <br />predicts emission factors expressed as a rate per unit of activity, typically rate per vehicle <br />mile traveled. <br /> <br />4 <br />