|
Systemwide Land Use Assumptions for the Implementation of Impact Fees
<br /> Service Area Projection Data
<br /> Residential Projections (Population)
<br /> The growth rate calculated during the City's Comprehensive Planning process is 1.78%. Since this conservative
<br /> growth rate is used for planning purposes and was calculated in coordination with the State Demographer, it will
<br /> be used to project the population for Water and Wastewater Service Areas. The current year (2016-2017) and
<br /> average (2010-2017) growth rates have been shown on the tables below for comparison purposes.
<br /> The following tables indicate population projections for each of the Service Areas:
<br /> (note:for comparison purposes,the 2012 building permit growth rate methodology was calculated and the
<br /> difference in population was negligible with a 12,000 increase vs. 13,000 increase over 10 years)
<br /> Table:Ten-Year Population Projections
<br /> Water Service Areas
<br /> Year Water Service Area Water Service Area Water Service Area
<br /> Conservative Growth 1.78°/Q Current Year Growth 1.76% Average Growth 3.89%
<br /> 2017* 67,468 67,468 67,468
<br /> 2018 68,668 68,665 70,092
<br /> 2019 69,891 69,863 72,819
<br /> 2020 71,135 71,093 75,651
<br /> 2021 72,401 72,344 78,594
<br /> 2022 73,690 73,617 81,651
<br /> 2023 75,001 74,913 84,828
<br /> 2024 76,336 76,231 88,127
<br /> 2025 77,695 77,573 91,556
<br /> 2026 79,078 78,938 95,117
<br /> 2027 80,486 80,328 98,817
<br /> *Source: City of San Marcos, January 1, 2017 Population Estimate
<br /> Methodology-Enter total population from Estimated Population Table and apply the growth rate over 10 years
<br /> Table: Ten-Year Population Projections
<br /> Wastewater Service Areas
<br /> Year Wastewater Service Area Wastewater Service Area Wastewater Service Area
<br /> Conservative Growth 1.78% Current Year Growth 1.76% Average Growth 3.89%
<br /> 2017* 75,330 75,330 75,330
<br /> 2018 76,671 76,656 81,305
<br /> 2019 78,036 78,005 81,305
<br /> 2020 79,425 79,378 84,467
<br /> 2021 80,838 80,775 87,753
<br /> 2022 82,277 82,197 91,167
<br /> 2023 83,742 83,643 94,713
<br /> 2024 85,232 85,1 1 5 98,398
<br /> 2025 86,750 86,613 102,225
<br /> 2026 88,294 88,1 38 106,202
<br /> 2027 89,865 89,689 110,333
<br /> *Source: City of San Marcos, January 1, 2017 Population Estimate
<br /> Methodology-Enter total population from Estimated Population Table and apply the growth rate over 10 years
<br /> Page 8
<br /> - --- - ----- ----- --- ---- ---
<br />
|