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Systemwide Land Use Assumptions for the Implementation of Impact Fees <br /> Growth Rate Data <br /> Growth can be characterized in two forms: Residential (population) and Nonresidential. <br /> Assumptions for Applying Growth Rates <br /> Several assumptions have been made in order to apply the growth rate to the Water and Wastewater Service <br /> Areas: <br /> • Future land uses will occur as shown on the Preferred Scenario Map <br /> • Known or anticipated developments will occur as presently planned <br /> • Densities will be as projected, based upon anticipated zoning districts <br /> • Growth rates occurring outside of the City Limits will be similar to the growth experienced within City Limits <br /> • Residential growth outside of the City Limits will be primarily single family <br /> • The City will be able to grow and serve its proposed impact fee service areas <br /> • The City will have the revenue to finance necessary improvements to the water and wastewater systems to <br /> accommodate growth <br /> • School facilities will be sufficient to accommodate the expected increase in school-age population <br /> Establishment of Residential Growth Rates <br /> In prior years, building permit data was used to determine residential population growth using the following <br /> calculations: <br /> Average Residential Permits per Year* Occupancy Rate= New Dwellings per Year <br /> New Dwellings per Year * Persons Per Household = Population Added per Year <br /> Population Added per Year * 10 years = Projected Population <br /> This projected population was then distributed over the 10 year time frame and a growth rate was assumed. <br /> More recently, the City has created a methodology for calculating growth rates and projecting future population <br /> based on historical data and meetings with the State Demographer. The average growth rate for the seven year <br /> period from 2010-2017 is 3.89%. The current growth rate from January 1, 2016-January 1, 2017 is 1.76%. A <br /> conservative growth rate of 1.78% was calculated during the Comprehensive Planning process in coordination with <br /> the State Demographer and is used for the City's planning processes. <br /> Since the conservative growth rate of 1.78% is typically used for planning purposes, this rate will be the primary <br /> rate used to project the population for the Water and Wastewater Service Areas. <br /> Establishment of Growth Rates for all Land Uses <br /> Changes in population affect the use of land. Increased population results in the conversion of vacant or agricultural <br /> lands and the additional need for nonresidential uses to accommodate the residential growth. To project <br /> nonresidential growth, it is assumed that the future acreage required to support the increased population will be <br /> consistent with the acreage of existing uses. <br /> Page 7 <br />