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<br />A summary of historical and forecast <br />based aircraft is illustrated on Exhibit <br />2B. The projections depicted on the <br />exhibit illustrate an envelope of <br />potential based aircraft at San Marcos <br />over the next 20 years. Given the lack <br />of a true reliever airport within the city <br />of Austin, it is very likely that San <br />Marcos will be increasingly utilized by <br />aircraft owners in the Austin area. This <br />holds especially true ifthe city of Austin <br />continues to grow southerly. For this <br />reason, the lower end of the planning <br />envelope does not represent an <br />adequate tool for the city to plan for <br />facilities, and will likely position the <br />airport in a position of playing "catch- <br />up" to meet demand. <br /> <br />A combination of projections including <br />the increasing market share of U.S. <br />active aircraft and the constant share of <br />aircraft per 1,000 MSA residents <br />projection appears to be the most <br />reasonable for the purposes of this <br />Master Plan. These projections are <br />somewhat optimistic, but they allow for <br />consideration oflimited facilities in the <br />southern MSA, and the limited facility <br />availability at Georgetown, Lockhart, <br />and New Braunfels. In order to develop <br />a plan which will allow the City to <br />develop facilities based upon demand, <br />the following planning horizon activity <br />milestones have been established for <br />based aircraft: <br /> <br />. <br />. <br />. <br /> <br />Short Term - 250 <br />Intermediate Term - 280 <br />Long Term - 375 <br /> <br />2-16 <br /> <br />BASED AIRCRAFT <br />FLEET MIX PROJECTION <br /> <br />Knowing the aircraft fleet mix expected <br />to utilize the airport is necessary to <br />properly plan facilities that will best <br />serve the level of activity and the type <br />of activities occurring at the airport. <br />The existing-based aircraft fleet mix is <br />comprised of single and multi-engine <br />piston-powered aircraft and also <br />includes business turboprop and <br />turbojet aircraft. <br /> <br />As detailed previously, the national <br />trend is toward a larger percentage of <br />sophisticated turboprop, jet aircraft, <br />and helicopters in the national fleet. <br />Growth within each based aircraft <br />category at the airport has been <br />determined by comparison with <br />national projections (which reflect <br />current aircraft production) and <br />consideration of local economic <br />conditions. The projected trend of based <br />aircraft at San Marcos Municipal <br />includes a growing number of single <br />and multi-engine aircraft and turboprop <br />aircraft. However, strong growth in <br />business turbojet aircraft is projected <br />for the airport through the planning <br />period, consistent with national trends. <br />The based aircraft fleet mix projection <br />for San Marcos Municipal Airport is <br />summarized in Table 2F. <br /> <br />Currently, single engine aircraft <br />compose the largest segment of aircraft <br />at San Marcos. Future based aircraft <br />mix will continue to be dominated by <br />